Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.418481 0.489545 0.569379 0.665790 0.779188 0.908481 1.067304
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.297569 0.386746 0.498270 0.648367 0.845721 1.097229 1.443489
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.248421 0.347027 0.479779 0.672364 0.946013 1.323023 1.885552
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.209316 0.309885 0.453575 0.675099 1.010403 1.502766 2.287679
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.183296 0.285294 0.438706 0.688033 1.086761 1.705800 2.751707
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.157260 0.255758 0.410739 0.674614 1.117650 1.840343 3.126290
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.137783 0.233200 0.389625 0.667515 1.155341 1.988055 3.542234
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.123674 0.217198 0.376469 0.670822 1.209480 2.168855 4.041518
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.116800 0.212490 0.381490 0.705891 1.323736 2.470125 4.806961
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.110317 0.207452 0.384972 0.738119 1.436589 2.783796 5.645445
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.103141 0.200070 0.382990 0.759316 1.530601 3.073758 6.482138
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.095177 0.190070 0.374624 0.766512 1.597107 3.317474 7.260502
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.086248 0.177255 0.359599 0.759111 1.634547 3.511308 7.974512
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.077224 0.163131 0.340235 0.740121 1.644927 3.650154 8.592173
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.073476 0.159583 0.342296 0.767623 1.761858 4.041042 9.866707
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.068065 0.151708 0.334038 0.770761 1.823286 4.313947 10.902437
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.064119 0.146570 0.331093 0.785596 1.914280 4.669842 12.209825
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.058439 0.136744 0.316307 0.770204 1.929187 4.842118 13.068214
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.053842 0.128891 0.305129 0.762063 1.961054 5.061722 14.094173
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.050427 0.123463 0.299047 0.765856 2.024325 5.372301 15.431369
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.049351 0.123662 0.306692 0.806081 2.190599 5.983706 17.752365
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.048100 0.123260 0.312780 0.843057 2.353762 6.612701 20.247824
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.046262 0.121114 0.314136 0.867380 2.485172 7.173033 22.641471